基于评价信息随机化的群体评价方法与应用

针对群体评价中共识集结的相关问题,从仿真的视角讨论了评价信息随机化的群体共识聚合求解方法。首先,面向实数类型的评价信息,将精确性的数据给予一定的宽松性处理,进一步结合正态分布的3σ原则,利用随机模拟的方式集结出带有概率特征的可能性排序;其次,面向区间数类型的评价信息,整合出各子区间发生概率不同的区间数评价信息,在充分随机模拟的情况下,给出了带有优胜概率特征的可能性排序。最后,通过相应的算例进行求解分析,说明了该方法的可行性和有效性。基于群体共识视角,针对实数和区间数两种类型的评价信息,分别进行相应的随机化处理,并为进一步探索区间数的分布形式提供了一种新的研究思路。     

三线性滞回系统的稳态响应

提出了一种三线性滞回阻尼模型。用Krylov-Bogoliubov缓变系灵敏法研究了正弦型激励下单自由度三线性滞回系统的稳态响应。当本文的三线性模型退化为双线性模型时。本文结果与Caughey的结果是一致的。研究结果还发现。这种系统的稳态解总是稳定的，没有振幅的跳跃现象发生。但在激振力力幅达到一定值时能够发生无界响应。此外还发现，稳态振动达到峰值振幅时滞回面积（即最大滞回面积）对峰值振幅的比值和激振力力幅成正比。这个结论与双非线性滞回系统的相应结论是一致的。     

基于贝叶斯网络的智能故障诊断方法

首先提出了基于贝叶斯网络的智能故障诊断方法，它对于解决复杂设备诊断问题中存在的不确定性，关联性具有很大的优质。然后阐述了贝叶斯网络模型的数学描述及基于贝叶斯网络的故障诊断方法的基本思路和决策算法。最后以某型SINS／GPS组合导航系统的故障诊断应用实例说明了该方法的有效性。     

不确定非线性结构动力响应的区间分析方法

研究多自由度非线性不确定参数系统的动力响应问题. 以区间数学为基础，将不确定 性参数用区间进行定量化，借助一阶Taylor级数，给出了近似估计非线性振动系统动力响 应范围的区间分析方法. 从数学证明和数值算例两方面，将其与概率摄动有限元法进行了比 较，结果显示区间分析方法对不确定参数先验信息具有要求较少、精度较高的优点.     

FEEDBACK CONTROL OPTIMIZATION FOR SEISMICALLY EXCITED BUILDINGS

A feedback control optimization method of partially observable linear structures via stationary response is proposed and analyzed with linear building structures equipped with control devices and sensors. First, the partially observable control problem of the structure under horizontal ground acceleration excitation is converted into a completely observable control problem. Then the It6 stochastic differential equations of the system are derived based on the stochastic averaging method for quasi-integrable Hamiltonian systems and the stationary solution to the Fokker-Plank-Kolmogorov （FPK） equation associated with the It6 equations is obtained. The performance index in terms of the mean system energy and mean square control force is established and the optimal control force is obtained by minimizing the performance index. Finally, the numerical results for a three-story building structure model under E1 Centro, Hachinohe, Northridge and Kobe earthquake excitations are given to illustrate the application and the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

Dynamics of a Flexible Slider-Crank Mechanism Driven by a Non-Ideal Source of Energy

The dynamic response of a slider crank mechanism with a flexible connecting rod driven by an electric DC motor is examined. After formulating the governing nonlinear boundary value problem, it is reduced by a one-term truncation to a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations representing the complete dynamics of the electromechanical system. First, the steady-state behavior is analyzed. It turns out that a constant crank rotational speed is not possible: fluctuations appear which can be limited by an appropriate choice of the system and the engine data. Then, the transient startup or rundown is dealt with by using a digital simulation of the model equations. It exhibits a rich variety of dynamic effects till the stationary speed is reached. Attention is focused on the influence of the flexibility which in both categories of motion yields typical features.     

基于概率密度演化方法的随机结构可靠度分析

随机结构反应的概率密度演化方法能够给出随机荷载作用下随机结构反应的概率密度函数。在此基础上，根据给定的正常使用位移限值要求，直接进行积分给出了随机结构的正常使用可靠度及其失效概率。在实例分析中，与一类情况下的精确解答及基于反应正态分布假定的二阶矩方法分析结果进行了比较。研究表明：基于密度演化方法的随机结构可靠度分析具有很高的精度，而二阶矩方法的可靠度分析结果则往往具有一定的偏差，在失效概率较低时可能给出虚假的失效概率。     

Modeling of dynamics, heat transfer, and combustion in two-phase turbulent flows: 2. Flows with heat transfer and combustion

The objective of this part of the paper is to summarize the information concerning the authors' works in the field of simulation of two-phase gas-particle turbulent flows with heat transfer and combustion. A kinetic equation had been derived for the probability density function (PDF) of the particle velocity, temperature, and mass distributions in turbulent flows. This PDF equation is used for the construction of the governing conservation equations of mass, momentum, and heat transfer in the dispersed particle phase.The numerical scheme incorporates two-phase fluid dynamics, convective and radiative heat transfer, and combustion. The proposed models have been applied to the calculation of various particle-laden turbulent flows in jets, combustion and gasification chambers, and furnaces.     

随机振动载荷作用下结构Von Mises应力过程的研究

随机振动载荷作用下结构的多轴疲劳分析非常复杂，利用Von Mises应力准则将多轴应力响应转换为单轴应力是一条简单而有效的途径，其关键问题是Von Mises应力概率密度函数的确定。本文提出了Von Mises应力过程近似服从Weibull分布的假设，同时给出了确定Weibull参数的方法，为进一步直接利用Von Mises应力进行结构多轴疲劳分析创造了条件。     

磁粉法检测表面裂纹概率曲线的测定

本文介绍了利用实物零件测定裂纹检出概率的方法，并作出了用磁粉法检测表面裂纹的检测概率曲线，为大型构件检测周期的确定提供了可靠数据，为结构损伤容限设计，可靠性设计提供了重要的依据。